ABC Summer Predictions - 'Rookie Blue' is Certain to be Canceled

Rookie Blue returned to a woeful rating of a 0.6 A18-49 rating. On ABC, that marks it as certain to be canceled. 

Mistresses has been downgraded to likely to be canceled after earning a 0.7 A18-49 rating and for declining ratings. A 0.9 was woeful enough! Astronaut Wives Club will also be downgraded to a likely cancelation as well for pretty much the same reason. 

ABC Shows
The Bachelorette - Certain Renewal
What Would You Do? - Likely Renewal
500 Questions - Likely Renewal
Celebrity Wife Swap - Likely Renewal

The Whispers - Toss Up

Astronaut Wives Club - Likely Cancelation 

Mistresses - Likely Cancelation 
Extreme Weight Loss - Likely Cancelation

Rookie Blue - Certain Cancelation

CBS Summer Predictions: 'Under the Dome' Returns as a Toss Up to Be Canceled or Renewed

This past week, Under the Dome premiered with a 1.3 A18-49 rating. Therefore this season will start out as a toss up between cancelation and renewal. 

The Breiefcase will be downgraded to "likely canceled" after weeks of declining ratings. Friday's rating is already near a downgrade to certain cancelation. 

CBS Shows

Big Brother - Certain Renewal

Under the Dome - Toss Up

The Briefcase - Likely Cancelation

ABC Summer Predictions: "Extreme Weight Loss" is Likely to be Canceled

Normally, for veteran reality shows, I would typically be more generous since they would typically survive at lower relative ratings. But, the continuing decline in Extreme Weight Loss ratings has taken all that slack, and more. I will now downgrade the prediction for the weight loss show to "likely to be canceled".

The observant will note that The Whispers has also been downgraded to a Toss Up between cancelation and renewal due to a decline in ratings. Any further decline, and there will be a prediction downgrade. Stay tuned.

ABC Shows
The Bachelorette - Certain Renewal
What Would You Do? - Likely Renewal
500 Questions - Likely Renewal
Celebrity Wife Swap - Likely Renewal

The Whispers - Toss Up

Astronaut Wives Club - Toss Up

Mistresses - Toss Up
Extreme Weight Loss - Likely Cancelation

NBC Summer Predictions: "Hannibal" is Canceled

Hannibal was canceled after three poor performing seasons. It will be written of no more.

To my surprise, Aquarius has been renewed for season 2 on NBC even though it was in Certain Cancelation territory for weeks. 

NBC Shows

Aquarius - Renewed
America's Got Talent - Certain Renewal
American Ninja Warrior - Certain Renewal
I Can Do That - Certain Renewal
The Island - Toss Up

A.D.: The Bible Continues - Certain Cancelation
American Odyssey - Certain Cancelation 

Hannibal - Canceled, airing remaining episodes

NBC Summer Predictions: "I Can Do That" is Certain to be Renewed

With a noticeable decline in the network ratings for NBC, I Can Do That is now certain to be renewed. Yes, certain!

I've included an addition to the NBC table with A.D. and American Odyssey. Both have fallen in the ratings and are now certain to be canceled. 

Hannibal's second episode has dropped to a new series low of a 0.5 A18-49 rating. It remains a 'certain cancelation'. 

NBC Shows
America's Got Talent - Certain Renewal
American Ninja Warrior - Certain Renewal
I Can Do That - Certain Renewal
The Island - Toss Up
Aquarius - Certain Cancelation

A.D.: The Bible Continues - Certain Cancelation
Hannibal - Certain Cancelation
American Odyssey - Certain Cancelation 

CW Summer Predictions: Already Renewed, "Beauty & the Beast" earns a 0.3 A18-49 Rating

Last night, Beauty & the Beast returned to a preliminary 0.3 A18-49 rating. Since it's already renewed for next season, there will be no predictions. Until July at least. 

CW Shows

Beauty & the Beast - Already Renewed

NBC Summer Predictions - 'Hannibal' is Certain to be Canceled

Last week, Hannibal premiered to a series low 0.7 A18-49 rating. On NBC, that is certain cancelation territory. There is no chance that Hannibal will return after the third season, and it is not eligible for the automatic fourth season, regardless of ratings.

Aquarius's rating in episode 2 plummeted to a 0.7 rating, after premiering to a 1.1 A18-49 rating. The show is also certain to be canceled.

NBC Shows
America's Got Talent - Certain Renewal
American Ninja Warrior - Certain Renewal
I Can Do That - Likely Renewal
The Island - Toss Up
Aquarius - Certain Cancelation
Hannibal - Certain Cancelation

FOX Summer Predictions - 'Golan the Insatiable' is Certain to be Canceled

For its premiere, Golan the Insatiable arrived DOA. The current season average is a 0.55 A18-49 rating, and this past Sunday it received a rather woeful 0.5 A18-49 rating. For this reason, the show is certain to be canceled.

FOX Shows
MasterChef - Certain Renewal
So You Think You Can Dance - Certain Renewal
Wayward Pines - Likely Renewal
Bullseye - Likely Renewal
Are You Smarter Than a 5th Grader? - Toss Up
Golan the Insatiable - Certain Cancelation

CBS Summer Predictions - 'The Briefcase' is Likely to Be Renewed

For the start of the summer season, CBS has one summer show that is currently on the network. The Briefcase currently has a 1.1 A18-49 season average. For now, it will start as "likely to be renewed".

Looking ahead, Zoo will premiere June 30. Until then, I will have little to write about CBS until then. 

CBS Shows

The Briefcase - Likely Renewal

ABC Summer Predictions: 'Extreme Weight Loss' is a Toss-Up to be Canceled or Renewed

Right now, Extreme Weight Loss currently has a season average of a 0.9 A18-49. In this week's ratings, the show did not air due to the NBA Finals. In its most recent rating, the show garnered a 0.8 A18-49 rating. Normally, I would've put this at "likely canceled", since it is currently the lowest rated program on ABC. But for a reality show, it would make sense to give the benefit of the doubt. Thus, Extreme Weight Loss is a toss-up to be canceled or renewed.

ABC Shows
The Bachelorette - Certain Renewal
The Whispers - Likely Renewal
What Would You Do? - Likely Renewal
500 Questions - Likely Renewal
Celebrity Wife Swap - Likely Renewal
Extreme Weight Loss - Toss Up

Special Re-Up Edition: NBA Finals Conspiracy

It seems as if this year's NBA Finals may have been one of the highest rated NBA Finals in history. Game 3 garnered a preliminary rating of 5.8 A18-49, which has since adjusted to a 7.3 A18-49 rating.

Tuesday night also showed the season finale of the CW show iZombie, which has garnered a series low 0.5 A18-49 rating, which is not too bad by CW standards. Many commenters on TVByTheNumbers pointed out the impact that the NBA Finals had on the show, with some stating that it has reached ratings levels of The 100.

Tonight, Game 4 will go against Hannibal, Aquarius, Wayward Pines, and the iHeartRadio's Summer Pool Party. The question is, will its impact cause one show to dip towards cancelation? At this point for the beginning of the summer season, it's practically too early to tell.

My ratings predictions are that Hannibal will garner a 0.6 new series low, Wayward Pines will get a 1.0, and Aquarius will be a 0.5 in the A 18-49 rating. The reason why is that having Aquarius as a lead in is questionable at best. Also, it is the summer season and networks have lower expectations.

Lifetime Reality TV Predictions: "Bama State Style" is Canceled, there is no going back. In other news, "Dance Moms" still Likely to be Canceled

We just got word that the show Bama State Style is being shopped for a new home. That's right, you guessed it. The show has been canceled by Lifetime after 4 episodes. It will be written of no more. 

Dance Mom's 0.3 A 18-49 rating is enough to keep the prediction at "likely canceled". 

There is no word on all the other shows that are currently predicted as "certain to be canceled". Once word comes out, there will be changes to predictions. 

Here's another change to the prediction table. Little Women: NY is now predicted as "likely to be canceled", as well as Little Women LA: Terra's Little Family. Both shows on their recent season finales pulled in a 0.3 A 18-49 rating, which is mediocre on Wednesday standards. Little Women: NY has been a marginal performer in the latter half of the season at best, while the latter show has crashed. I wouldn't be shocked if they are both renewed, but I think it could go the other way. 

TV Shows
Little Women: LA - Certain Renewal
Bring It! - Likely Renewal

Preacher's Daughters - Toss Up

Dance Moms - Likely Cancelation
Little Women LA: Terra's Little Family - Likely Cancelation
Little Women: NY - Likely Cancelation
Born in the Wild - Certain Cancelation 

Jump! - Certain Cancelation
Kosher Soul - Certain Cancelation
Bama State Style - Canceled
Kim of Queens - Canceled

Back from Hiatus! Lifetime Predictions: "UnReal" is 'Certain to be Canceled'. Already!

Looks like I'll be out of the Reality TV domain on Lifetime for this post. 

I've arrived just in time for the slow part of the television season. Welcome to summer. It's about to get ugly. 

Already we have the first casualty on Lifetime with the show "UnReal". The ratings on a Monday night at the 10 PM slot are beyond terrible. It's premiere debuted at a rather shameful 0.29 A 18-49 rating and has caused Lifetime to post the first four episodes on its website. This week it has dropped to a 0.26 A 18-49 rating. Granted if this were the CW, the show would have been canceled immediately just like The Messengers did with those terrible ratings. For this reason, the show is certain to be canceled. 

TV Shows

Devious Maids - Likely Renewal

UnReal - Certain Cancelation