Summer Scripted Predictions: 'Welcome to Sweden' is Certain to be Canceled

Canceled 

American Odyssey (NBC)

A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC)

Hannibal (NBC)
Wayward Pines (FOX)

Certain Cancelation 
Dates (CW)

Extant (CBS)

Golan the Insatiable (FOX)

Welcome to Sweden (NBC) - canceled 7/28

Likely Cancelation 

Mistresses (ABC)

The Whispers (ABC)

Toss Up

Astronaut Wives Club (ABC)

Rookie Blue (ABC)

Likely Renewal

Under the Dome (CBS)

Zoo (CBS)

Certain Renewal

None, at this point

Renewed

Aquarius (NBC)

Beauty & the Beast (CW)

Welcome to Sweden dropped in the ratings to a new series low of a 0.2 A18-49 rating. With absolute confidence, the show will immediately be downgraded to "certain to be canceled". Adding on to the certainty is the fact that Sweden has not renewed the series yet, and it is unlikely to do so.

In the woeful ratings territory that is CBS, Under the Dome and Zoo, pulling in numbers that indicate cancelation are both likely to be renewed by a slim margin. Still at least one scripted show will be canceled, and that will most likely be certain to be canceled Extant, not the other two.

Rookie Blue will be upgraded to a Toss Up this week. Since it is pulling in numbers similar to The Whispers and it is a veteran series, it could survive at lower relative ratings. But the ratings are still fractional. This week it has risen to a 0.8 A18-49 rating, and I'm hoping that it's not a fluke. I could see it go either way.

UPDATE: To no one's surprise, NBC canceled Welcome to Sweden after four low rated episodes.