Friday, August 14, 2015

Summer Scripted Predictions: Might ABC Cancel All of Their Scripted Summer Dramas?

Canceled 
American Odyssey (NBC)
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC)
Dates (CW)
Hannibal (NBC)
Wayward Pines (FOX)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC)

Certain Cancelation 
Extant (CBS)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX)
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC)
The Whispers (ABC)

Likely Cancelation 
Mistresses (ABC)
Rookie Blue (ABC)
Significant Mother (CW)
Under the Dome (CBS)

Toss Up
Mr. Robinson (NBC)

Likely Renewal
None at this point

Certain Renewal
Zoo (CBS)

Renewed
Aquarius (NBC)
Beauty & the Beast (CW)

Last night preemptions inflated the ratings of Beauty & the Beast, Under the Dome, and other shows. In the finals, Under the Dome matched its series low at a 0.8 A18-49 rating which caused me to downgrade its prediction to "likely to be canceled".

Somehow I forgot to put Mr. Robinson on the list of shows currently on the air. It premiered to a 1.2 A18-49 rating and it has held steady at a 1.0. Because it only airs for three weeks before The Carmichael Show premieres, each show has six episodes. Mr. Robinson is a toss up between cancelation and renewal.

I was a little hesitant on downgrading the prediction for The Astronaut Wives Club but at a second straight week at a series low causes me to take it down two notches to "certain to be canceled". And that's not all. 

Right now it looks like all of ABC's scripted shows are heading towards cancelation. For Rookie Blue, this depends on whether Global in Canada will renew the series. Hence its at "likely to be canceled" because ABC could pull a cancelation like Motive (that is, CTV renewed Motive, but it was canceled by ABC). Mistresses is also at "likely to be canceled", due to ratings decline, and it could be due to Alyssa Milano's departure, and also a time slot change. The ratings are beyond abominable. The Likely Cancelation prediction is looking pretty generous at this point. Stay tuned.

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