Summer Scripted Predictions: 'The Carmichael Show' is Certain to be Renewed, of Course. Now Let's Focus on ABC Scripted Series Woes.

Canceled 

American Odyssey (NBC)

A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC)

The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC)

Dates (CW)

Hannibal (NBC)

Wayward Pines (FOX)

Welcome to Sweden (NBC)
Under the Dome (CBS)

Certain Cancelation 

Extant (CBS)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX)

The Whispers (ABC)

Likely Cancelation 

Rookie Blue (ABC)
Significant Mother (CW)

Toss Up

Mistresses (ABC)

Likely Renewal

Mr. Robinson (NBC)

Certain Renewal

The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Zoo (CBS)

Renewed

Aquarius (NBC)

Beauty & the Beast (CW)

We are down to the wire. The question is, why is Mistresses still a toss up, especially since its season finale just hit a series low? The answer is, the major networks were preempted for preseason football. Speaking of Mistresses, let's just talk about the general collapse of ABC's scripted ratings for this summer. For this reason, Rookie Blue is listed as "likely canceled" instead of Mistresses. Why not both? Look at the unrounded season averages for both shows: Mistresses averages a 0.75 A18-49 rating, while Rookie Blue averages a 0.65. Clearly Mistresses has higher ratings than Rookie Blue overall. The Whispers started out okay, yet plunged in the ratings, had cast options expired, and it's now certain to be canceled. The Astronaut Wives Club was canceled due to low ratings.

To change the subject, this week The Carmichael Show pulled an Empire and rose in the ratings. I have now moved it to "certain to be renewed". Will the numbers rise again? Stay tuned.